This letter was posted to the CAP-ES mailing list some time ago. It
questions the very roots of what we do. If we are to competently
accomplish our stated objectives, we need to be able to explain why
we do what we do. Interestingly, this letter was signed using a pseudonym.
Would you be able to answer these difficult questions? Read on.
Why is CAP trying to train and equip for something it rarely does --
Ground Search and Rescue -- when existing organizations are better equipped
and supported? Isn't this the mission and responsibility of Public Safety
agencies?
Is this an appropriate activity for an "Air" Patrol, and couldn't its
effort and resources be better spent on the its primary emergency service
mission, Air Search and Location (including electronic search and the
supporting intelligence activities)?
If some Members aren't happy in supporting the primary mission, wouldn't
they be happier (and infinitely more useful) as volunteer members of Public
Safety agencies whose primary responsibility is ground search and rescue and
victim evacuation and transport?
Just wondering.
-- DrSarcap
There were many responses to these questions; here is mine.
As the dawn of the new millennium breaks, we enter upon a dynamic and
challenging environment. When it comes to missing aircraft, very soon the
“search” will be all but gone in electronic Search and Rescue. Undoubtedly
this is for the better. Our goal all along has been to save lives and aid
the injured. Technology is allowing us to achieve that end more quickly and
therefore more efficiently. The revolution upon which we are now embarking
will change SAR as drastically as did the widespread use of the ELT.
If we are to remain viable as an Emergency Services organization, we must
anticipate and prepare for this paradigm shift. Fortunately, many
individuals have already begun to do so. Civil Air Patrol has been
traditionally kept on the leading edge of technological advances. For
examples, think of our vast nationwide packet network, CAP’s early entrance
to the world wide web, or the groundbreaking use of airborne slow scan
television.
Operationally, however, Civil Air Patrol has been slower to adapt. The
new 406.025 MHz ELT is steadily making its way in to service with little
note from Civil Air Patrol. Indeed, all of aviation has been slow to adapt
and apply this new technology. The advantages of 406 ELTs are documented.
The average search radius of a 406 ELT is 2 Nautical Miles. When the ELT is
coupled to a GPS (or LORAN) receiver, that radius is down to 0.05 NM!
Additionally, each beacon has its own digital signature that can be used to
track down the owner or tail number associated with an individual ELT.
Imagine AFRCC calling you at home to tell you that your ELT had been
activated! This system only works if owners register their beacons--it can
already be foreseen that CAP will soon be chasing unregistered beacons. The
406 MHz EPIRB has been proven to work in the maritime EPIRB environment.
General Aviation has been slower to accept 406 beacons, but the current wind
seems to be blowing in the direction that 121.5 MHz ELTs will soon be a
thing of the past.
The "new" 406 technology does not come without caveats. No one knows for
certain how the coupled beacons will work in the harsh field conditions
created during an aircraft accident. Todd Engleman of the CAP Emergency
Services discussion group has already reported that the position indicating
system can be significantly (40 miles) off. For the non-coupled beacons,
satellite accuracy is said to be 2 NM. This increased accuracy is due to the
beacon's higher transmit power. Instead of a continuous weak beacon for
SARSAT to track, 406 beacons transmit a high power (5 watt) signal every
minute or so (50 seconds). Practical use (to include the false-alarm rate)
has been almost totally water-borne EPIRBs which, for the most part, will
have a uniform radiation pattern (water is flat). We don’t know if the
satellite accuracy will be the same when on the land (meaning, in the
mountains) but assuming it is, it should be noted that 406 ELTs only have a
25 milliwatt transmitter which SAR forces will use to home to the ELT. This
means you should keep you L-Pers, ladies and gentlemen, because you'll need
them to track the beacon's "homer." We should be concerned with the
difference between the 406 ELT’s 25 mW signal on 121.5 MHz versus the
current nominal 600 mW for conventional ELTs. The non-coupled 406 ELT will
vastly narrow the search, but CAP will still need to DF those last critical
few miles.
This means that ground (DF) teams will become only more necessary! If the
search is greatly shortened, then a singular ground team can be dispatched
to the search area at the same time as an aircrew. When the aircrew
pinpoints the objective, the ground team can quickly be vectored to the site
and coordinate the evacuation. Additionally, if adverse weather prevents the
launch of aircrews, a ground team has a much greater chance of locating the
search objective autonomously. Increased accuracy of the ELT will give the
ground team a better place from which to start DFing. Even a moderately
trained ground team should be able to locate an ELT when starting from 2 NM
away.
Since 406 ELTs can be individually registered, the number of false alarms
will drastically decrease. Currently, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA, the agency that operates the weather GOES satellites
that listen for 406 MHz beacons) reports that currently 13% of 406 signals
are false alarms. That's one beacon in eight, but remember that the vast
majority of those beacons are EPIRBs. We don't yet know what the ELT numbers
will look like. Compare that figure to the the traditional 97% plus false
alarm rate for 121.5 beacons. When we understand that an actual emergency
121.5 ELT signal is more like 1 in 1000, the 406 system is an almost
incredible improvement. This, too, has far-reaching consequences for Civil
Air Patrol. Gone are the days when teams deploy to hunt an ELT in a hanger.
Although CAP will be activated less often, when we perform an electronic
search there will nearly always be a distressed aircraft at the end of it.
This calls for ever-increasing proficiency and professionalism from our
search crews. Nondistress finds will be a scarce breed. Being called out
means that, with reasonable certainty, you will rescue someone that day. Are
you truly ready for this?
It is important to note that 406 beacons are only voluntarily registered.
Considering past experience, it seems as though Civil Air Patrol almost
never searches for the responsible pilot. Pilots who file a flight plans,
carry survival gear, and change their ELT batteries faithfully tned to be
the same pilots who decide to stay at home during marginal weather and not
run their fuel tanks dry. This interesting coincidence will become more
important with the promulgation of 406 ELTs in aviation. Even if the FAA
were to mandate a phase-in of 406 ELTs, many of them will still not be
registered. We can expect to chase unregistered 406 ELTs in hangers, on
private fields, and in the wild country. False alarms will almost certainly
increase with the increase in numbers of 406 beacons. They should be lower
than on 121.5, but we'll still have plenty of them. The conclusion is, then,
that while false alarms should be relatively rare, they will still occur.
In case you haven't heard, the National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration, in conjunction with international aviation, maritime, and
search and rescue organizations, will "turn off" SAR alerting on 121.5 MHz.
This only means that they're only saying a 121.5 beacon will not be a
primary reason for a full-out search. What is surprizing to many people is
that this is essentially status quo! If you go out and kick the tail of your
favorite 121.5 ELT equipped airplane, CAP isn't going to be called out on
that ELT-only signal for quite some time. We're talking in the neighborhood
of 5 or more hours. AFRCC is first going to ensure that the signal wasn't a
one-timer. If it keeps showing up, then they begin a telephone search of
airfield managers and air traffic control personnel. If the signal still
isn't resolved, they run the rest of their checklist which mainly seems to
involve waiting some more while monitoring the signal. Finally, they call
the appropriate CAP wing. This explains why CAP usually gets the call around
11 p.m., because that's when all the airport managers have gone home! In
other words, the discontinuation of processing 121.5 as a first alert means
that this waiting game will stretch out even longer--until a flight plan
goes unclosed or a relative notices that their loved ones haven't returned
from their flight. This change is truly not a major departure from the
current procedures in place.
Furthermore, the chances of the FAA requiring 406.025 MHz beacons anytime
soon is slim. The original requirement for ELTs in aircraft was a knee-jerk
reaction by Congress when one of its own members went missing in an Alaskan
aircraft crash. The "aviation lobby" will not support 406 ELTs due to their
added expense. The lobbies won't support anything that is going to cost the
average general aviation pilot an extra $1000 or so for his or her airplane.
To their credit, these same lobbies have done considerable good by pushing
to keep the LORAN chains going, thereby keeping our receivers in most CAP
aircraft operable, but they won't help SAR on 406 because of money.
The remainder of this editorial is under construction.